Due to the nature of the economy the topic of whether you should acquire another company or be acquired is highly relevant and a summary of what Mr. Hogan covered included:
- Can your company be sold? If, so do you have competent management and are they a potential buyer?
- The decision to sell is typically driven by outside forces: Health and/or personal issues, desire to retire, desire to focus on another business or poor financial performance.
- Everyone is a seller at some point: You may not be alive to see it, but it will happen. The question is where are you in your personal journey – closer to the beginning or end.
- Evaluate the opportunity to buy: At attractive valuations
- Acquisitions should fit within overall strategic plan: Is it strategically driven or ego driven? Are you properly capitalized?
- Strategy should drive acquisitions and your overall personal balance sheet should drive whether you are a seller
- Investment in your company should be seen as part of personal balance sheet: Are you properly diversified? Is your risk appropriate for your age? Can you live off the proceeds of a sale? Are you truly ready to retire and pursue other interests?
- Take a rational view of the business as part of your portfolio: Do not ignore the personal impact a sale would have on your finances, lifestyle and standing in the community.
- Your business is likely one of the more risky investments you have
- As you move closer to retirement you should ensure that you remove risk from your balance sheet: The unexpected can happen and typically does.
- Valuations are down significantly: Not likely to return to where they were in the near future. PV of selling in 5 years is $33.7MM or simply put, for the risk of operating your business you would be indifferent between getting $91 MM in 5 years vs. $33.7 MM today.
- Recovery is likely to be slow
- Taxes are rising
- Waiting for a better pricing environment may not yield the results you think: If you sold today and invested in a basket of less risky assets growing at 8%, you have $80.8MM in 5 years – around $10MM less than selling in 5 years, but at a much lower risk threshold.
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